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Championship week KenPom Bracketology

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The final KenPom Bracketology before Selection Sunday still has Xavier farther down the bracket then they are likely to land.

What would championship week be without a bracket projection? Still championship week, obviously, but you understand what I'm getting at. There have already been some really, really good games with bids on the line so far, so let's stop to take the pulse of basketball in general before gearing up for the downhill run to Selection Sunday.

Here's your s-curve:

1 VIRGINIA KANSAS MICHIGAN ST. VILLANOVA
2 KENTUCKY Oklahoma West Virginia North Carolina
3 Indiana Wichita St. Miami FL ARIZONA
4 Iowa Purdue Oregon Xavier
5 Iowa St. Duke Texas A&M California
6 GONZAGA Utah Maryland Vanderbilt
7 Wisconsin Baylor Texas Seton Hall
8 Saint Mary's Butler Cincinnati CONNECTICUT
9 Texas Tech VCU Notre Dame Valparaiso
10 YALE Syracuse STEPHEN F. AUSTIN SAN DIEGO ST.
11 Pittsburgh Florida Florida St. Creighton
12 Saint Joseph's Houston Kansas St. Tulsa
12 ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK IONA
13 HAWAII UNC WILMINGTON SOUTH DAKOTA ST. NORTHERN IOWA
14 CHATTANOOGA CAL ST. BAKERSFIELD STONY BROOK AKRON
15 UAB GREEN BAY UNC ASHEVILLE WEBER ST.
16 AUSTIN PEAY FLORIDA GULF COAST TEXAS SOUTHERN LEHIGH
16 NORFOLK ST. FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
First 4 out Clemson South Carolina USC Michigan
Next 4 out Providence Dayton BYU Oregon St.


And the bracket:

ChampKenPom

The Horizon League stole a KenPom bid with Green Bay knocking off Valpo, and the Missouri Valley certainly did when UNI toppled KenPom darling Wichita State. Beyond that, even the unexpected champions were just shuffling the deck in one-bid leagues. Nevertheless, the bubble has tightened by a couple of spots already and it's only Wednesday morning.

So far the SEC and ACC have already lost teams to the shrinking bubble, but the AAC is in line to be the big loser if things get much tighter. Both Tulsa and Houston are sitting in uncomfortable positions, and the wrong combination of outcomes in games they play and other conference tournaments means one or both of them could fall to that NIT position. It has been a long time since the bubble didn't matter at all for Xavier fans. To be honest, I really like it.