Know what's fun? Thinking about March when your team just started February by losing to a team it is objectively much better than. In real life, Xavier has probably used up almost all of the slack they have in terms of putting together a resume that the Selection Committee will find appealing. Realistically, X can make the tournament with 11, maybe 12 losses on the docket on Selection Sunday. You might have noticed that Xavier has 9 losses already. Anyway, let's see if Ken Pomeroy likes Xavier more than my imaginary future Selection Committee does.
First the s-curve...
|4||Wichita St.||NORTHERN IOWA||Notre Dame||North Carolina|
|5||Ohio St.||Butler||West Virginia||SMU|
|6||Georgetown||Michigan St.||Iowa St.||VCU|
|7||Texas||Oklahoma St.||Xavier||SAN DIEGO ST.|
|9||Arkansas||Cincinnati||Florida||STEPHEN F. AUSTIN|
|12||Texas A&M||Iowa||South Carolina||Minnesota|
|12||GREEN BAY||OLD DOMINION|
|13||HARVARD||BUFFALO||MURRAY ST.||WILLIAM & MARY|
|14||SOUTH DAKOTA ST.||GEORGIA ST.||IONA||UC IRVINE|
|15||WOFFORD||NEW MEXICO ST.||NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL||VERMONT|
|16||ST. FRANCIS NY||FLORIDA GULF COAST||HIGH POINT||EASTERN WASHINGTON|
|First 4 out||Seton Hall||Indiana||Arizona St.||TCU|
|Next 4 out||Illinois St.||UCLA||North Carolina St.||Purdue|
That 7-10 matchup with Dayton is almost too much to hope for. Actually, it is too much to hope for right now, because no reasonable bracketologist is giving Xavier a 7 with a loss to Creighton right in the rear view. We can dream though, right?
In other news, there are nine SEC teams in the KenPom bracket right now, up from a low of 3 early in the year and 6 last week. The Big East has 6 teams plus one more on the bubble, which is pretty much the status quo in this feature. I'm going to go out on a limb and say 6 is the very most teams the league will actually put in the tournament, with 5 seeming like the more likely number. It's going to be a frantic stretch run while the league sorts itself out.