Xavier Musketeers (16-9, 7-6)
St. John's Red Storm (16-8, 5-6)
-Win the freebie war. The Johnnies basically concede the glass at one end and aren't that great on the other, and both teams have offenses that are stingy with the basketball. Offensive rebounds and forced turnovers are free possessions for a team; Xavier has a chance to dominate both of those categories on Saturday.
-Score from outside. Xavier has run hot and cold from behind the arc in Big East play, but the St. John's defense will give them plenty of opportunities to score three-point baskets. Whether or not Xavier converts on those may well be the largest factor in the outcome of the game.