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KenPom Bracketology: 1/21

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As conference play begins, so does the conference attrition. The Big East, though, still has 60% of its teams in position for the big dance.

Xavier plays on Thursday this week - which you probably already knew - so KenPom Bracketology is back in its normal Wednesday time slot. The Musketeers have only played once since we did this last, and that was a less-than-resounding win over Marquette to get back to .500 in league play. This coming week is rife with opportunities for Xavier to move up, as a tough but potentially winnable road game against Providence runs before what should be a home walkover with DePaul. A Tuesday road trip to the Georgetown squad that just beat Villanova by 20 will prove a daunting challenge before next week's edition of the bracket.

Anyway, here's the s-curve...

The KenPom s-curve 1/21
1 KENTUCKY VIRGINIA GONZAGA WISCONSIN
2 Duke VILLANOVA Utah ARIZONA
3 North Carolina OKLAHOMA WICHITA ST. Texas
4 Maryland Notre Dame West Virginia Louisville
5 Kansas VCU Iowa St. Northern Iowa
6 Oklahoma St. Michigan St. Ohio St. Baylor
7 SAN DIEGO ST. Butler Xavier SMU
8 Stanford Cincinnati Georgetown Georgia
9 Davidson St. John's Mississippi Seton Hall
10 LSU Florida Dayton BYU
11 Arkansas North Carolina St. OLD DOMINION Iowa
12 South Carolina Connecticut Miami FL Alabama
12 STEPHEN F. AUSTIN GREEN BAY
13 HARVARD MURRAY ST. BUFFALO NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
14 GEORGIA ST. LONG BEACH ST. IONA WILLIAM & MARY
15 WOFFORD NEW MEXICO ST. EASTERN WASHINGTON COASTAL CAROLINA
16 NORTH FLORIDA ST. FRANCIS NY STONY BROOK SOUTH DAKOTA ST.
16 TEXAS SOUTHERN COLGATE
First 4 out TCU Providence Minnesota Indiana
Next 4 out Washington UCLA Vanderbilt Tulsa

KenPom 1-21

The Big 10 continues to cannibalize itself; they're down from 10 teams in early projections to just 5 today. Likewise the Pac-12 has dropped from steadily featuring 5 teams down to just 3. Meanwhile the SEC is up to 8 teams from a low of 3 and the A10 and AAC lead the mid-majors with 3 teams each.

The Big East is holding steady with 6 teams, and Providence lurks just the wrong side of the KenPom bubble. It should also be noted that the Big 10 and Pac-12 each have two teams in the first/next four out, so both leagues have the potential for Pomeroy bracket resurgence. We're getting to the part of the year where bracketologies start to inch closer to what reality will eventually be. It will be interesting to see how accurate the KenPom method is as the season continues to develop.